World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Mar 24, 2025 at 7pm UK

Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny

Ivory Coast
1 - 0
Gambia

Haller (15')
Gbamin (43')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Ivory Coast and Gambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ivory Coast

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Burundi 0-1 Ivory Coast
Friday, March 21 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Gambia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Gambia 3-3 Kenya
Thursday, March 20 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	7	9
2	Cameroon	3	-1	4
3	Guinea	3	-1	4
4	Gambia	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 70.97%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Gambia had a probability of 10.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.11%) and 3-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a Gambia win it was 0-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.

Result
Ivory Coast	Draw	Gambia
70.97% ( -0.31)	18.92% ( 0.18)	10.12% ( 0.13)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Ivory Coast	Draw	Gambia
2-0 @ 14.5% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 14.11% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 70.97%	1-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 2.82% ( 0) Other @ 0.44% Total : 18.92%	0-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.76% Total : 10.12%