Mexico national football team
Friendlies 1 | 2nd Leg
Jun 11, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Soldier Field
Turkey national football team

Mexico
1 - 0
Turkey

Pineda (45')
Lira (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Demiral (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's International Friendlies clash between Mexico and Turkey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
Last Game: Mexico 2-1 Panama
Monday, March 24 at 1.30am in CONCACAF Nations League
Next Game: Mexico vs. Switzerland
Saturday, June 7 at 9pm in International Friendlies

Turkey

All competitions
Last Game: Hungary 0-3 Turkey
Sunday, March 23 at 5pm in Nations League
Next Game: USA vs. Turkey
Saturday, June 7 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mexico win with a probability of 48.59%. A win for Turkey has a probability of 26.63% and a draw has a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Turkey win is 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.75%).

Result
MexicoDrawTurkey
48.59% (0.36000000000001 0.36)24.77% (0.226 0.23)26.63% (-0.591 -0.59)
Both teams to score 54.04% (-1.232 -1.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.49% (-1.393 -1.39)48.5% (1.387 1.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.36% (-1.284 -1.28)70.63% (1.277 1.28)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80% (-0.405 -0.41)20% (0.399 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.81% (-0.652 -0.65)52.18% (0.647 0.65)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.55% (-1.196 -1.2)32.44% (1.19 1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.03% (-1.365 -1.37)68.96% (1.359 1.36)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 48.59%
    Turkey 26.63%
    Draw 24.76%
MexicoDrawTurkey
1-0 @ 10.44% (0.458 0.46)
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.41% (0.27 0.27)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.51% (0.090000000000001 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.132 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 48.59%
1-1 @ 11.75% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.49% (0.363 0.36)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.177 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.76%
0-1 @ 7.3% (0.18 0.18)
1-2 @ 6.62% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.48% (-0.135 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 26.63%