England national football team
Friendlies 1 | 2nd Leg
Jun 10, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The City Ground
Senegal national football team

England
1 - 3
Senegal

Kane (7')
Colwill (30'), Walker (44')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sarr (40'), Diarra (62'), Sabaly (90+3')
Diatta (17')

The Match

Match Report

Senegal stun England with a 3-1 victory to condemn Thomas Tuchel to the first defeat of his tenure as Three Lions boss.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's International Friendlies clash between England and Senegal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in depth look at how England could line up for Tuesday's friendly encounter with Senegal at the City Ground.

Form, Standings, Stats

England

All competitions
Last Game: England 3-0 Latvia
Monday, March 24 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Next Game: Andorra vs. England
Saturday, June 7 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Senegal

All competitions
Last Game: Senegal 2-0 Togo
Tuesday, March 25 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Next Game: Rep. Ireland vs. Senegal
Friday, June 6 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a England win with a probability of 49.35%. A draw has a probability of 25.3% and a win for Senegal has a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Senegal win it is 0-1 (7.73%).

Result
EnglandDrawSenegal
49.35% (0.586 0.59)25.34% (-0.52 -0.52)25.3% (-0.07 -0.07)
Both teams to score 51.07% (1.477 1.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.16% (1.968 1.97)51.83% (-1.974 -1.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.4% (1.679 1.68)73.59% (-1.685 -1.69)
England Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.98% (1.063 1.06)21.02% (-1.069 -1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.19% (1.634 1.63)53.8% (-1.64 -1.64)
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.67% (1.012 1.01)35.33% (-1.017 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.91% (1.039 1.04)72.08% (-1.045 -1.05)
Score Analysis
    England 49.35%
    Senegal 25.3%
    Draw 25.34%
EnglandDrawSenegal
1-0 @ 11.58% (-0.54 -0.54)
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.133 0.13)
2-0 @ 9.03% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.89% (0.222 0.22)
3-0 @ 4.7% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.182 0.18)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.144 0.14)
4-0 @ 1.83% (0.091 0.09)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.1 0.1)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 49.35%
1-1 @ 12.05% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-0 @ 7.43% (-0.602 -0.6)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.201 0.2)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 7.73% (-0.398 -0.4)
1-2 @ 6.27% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.02% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.08 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.114 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 25.3%

Head to Head
Dec 4, 2022 7pm
Last 16
England
3-0
Senegal
Henderson (38'), Kane (45+3'), Saka (57')
> Match Report