World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Nov 15, 2024 at 12pm UK

Indonesia
vs.
Japan

FT(HT: 0-2)

Hubner (35' og.), Minamino (40'), Morita (49'), Sugawara (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Indonesia and Japan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Indonesia

All competitions

Last Game: China 2-1 Indonesia
Tuesday, October 15 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Indonesia vs. Saudi Arabia
Tuesday, November 19 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Japan

All competitions

Last Game: Japan 1-1 Australia
Tuesday, October 15 at 11.35am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: China vs. Japan
Tuesday, November 19 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 74.25%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Indonesia had a probability of 9.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.61%) and 0-3 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Indonesia win it was 1-0 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Indonesia	Draw	Japan
9.18% ( -0.19)	16.56% ( -0.27)	74.25% ( 0.45)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Indonesia	Draw	Japan
1-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.97% Total : 9.18%	1-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.59% Total : 16.56%	0-2 @ 13.44% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 10.37% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.11% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 7.03% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 6.01% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 4.07% ( 0.09) 0-5 @ 2.78% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.88% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.03) 0-6 @ 1.07% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.12% Total : 74.24%