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World Cup

Guinea-Bissau national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2025 at 4pm UK
Estadio Nacional 24 de Setembro
Burkina Faso national football team

Guinea-Bissau
1 - 2
Burkina Faso

Banjaqui (36')
Correia (68'), Semedo (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Traore (6', 73')
Kabore (35'), Yago (53'), Simpore (65')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Guinea-Bissau and Burkina Faso.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea-Bissau

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Sierra Leone 3-1 Guinea-Bissau
Thursday, March 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Burkina Faso

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Burkina Faso 4-1 Djibouti
Friday, March 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 43.03%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 27.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.97%) and 1-2 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 1-0 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burkina Faso would win this match.

Result
Guinea-BissauDrawBurkina Faso
27.03% (-0.227 -0.23)29.94% (0.178 0.18)43.03% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Both teams to score 40.13% (-0.539 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.54% (-0.598 -0.6)66.46% (0.598 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.1% (-0.408 -0.41)84.9% (0.40900000000001 0.41)
Guinea-Bissau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58% (-0.546 -0.55)42% (0.546 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.57% (-0.475 -0.47)78.43% (0.47500000000001 0.48)
Burkina Faso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.18% (-0.276 -0.28)30.81% (0.277 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.91% (-0.327 -0.33)67.09% (0.328 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Guinea-Bissau 27.02%
    Burkina Faso 43.02%
    Draw 29.93%
Guinea-BissauDrawBurkina Faso
1-0 @ 11.22% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 5.73% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-0 @ 4.87% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.66% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 0.98% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 27.02%
1-1 @ 13.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 12.94% (0.29 0.29)
2-2 @ 3.37% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 29.93%
0-1 @ 15.23% (0.22 0.22)
0-2 @ 8.97% (0.061 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.78% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.52% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 43.02%

How you voted: Guinea-Bissau vs Burkina Faso

Guinea-Bissau
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Burkina Faso
60.0%
15
Head to Head
Nov 17, 2023 7pm
Group Stage
Burkina Faso
1-1
Guinea-Bissau
Camara (10'), Traore (61'), Cisse (90+4')
Ouedraogo (68'), Dayo (85')

Bikel (44'), Semedo (69'), Mane (90+1')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2017 7pm
Group Stage
Guinea-Bissau
0-2
Burkina Faso
Silva (11' og.), Traore (58')
rhs 2.0
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