CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage | 2nd Leg

Jun 20, 2025 at 2.15am UK

Al Saqr Stadium

Saudi Arabia
0 - 1
USA

(USA win 5-1 on aggregate)

Al-Oboud (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Richards (63')
Luna (67'), Berhalter (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Saudi Arabia and USA, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saudi Arabia

All competitions

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 2-0 Jordan
Friday, May 30 at 4.40pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Bahrain vs. Saudi Arabia
Thursday, June 5 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

USA

All competitions

Last Game: Canada 2-1 USA
Sunday, March 23 at 10pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Next Game: USA vs. Turkey
Saturday, June 7 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uruguay	3	8	9
2	Panama	3	1	6
3	USA	3	0	3
4	Bolivia	3	-9	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for USA has a probability of 29.1% and a draw has a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest USA win is 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.93%).

Result
Saudi Arabia	Draw	USA
43.38%	27.53%	29.1%

Both teams to score 47.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.11%

57.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.39%

78.6%

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.53%

26.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.35%

61.65%

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.5%

35.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.73%

72.26%

Score Analysis

Saudi Arabia 43.37%

USA 29.1%

Draw 27.52%

Saudi Arabia	Draw	USA
1-0 @ 12.48% 2-1 @ 8.6% 2-0 @ 8.3% 3-1 @ 3.81% 3-0 @ 3.68% 3-2 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.27% 4-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.04% Total : 43.37%	1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 9.4% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.52%	0-1 @ 9.73% 1-2 @ 6.7% 0-2 @ 5.04% 1-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.04% Total : 29.1%