Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 50.93%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.69%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.