Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 14, 2025 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo

Fortaleza
0 - 0
Atletico Bucaramanga

Londono (86'), Londono (86')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Fortaleza and Atletico Bucaramanga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Fortaleza 5-0 Juventude
Saturday, May 10 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Atletico Bucaramanga

All competitions

Last Game: Atletico Bucaramanga 0-4 Racing
Tuesday, May 6 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 60.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Atletico Bucaramanga had a probability of 15.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.63%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for an Atletico Bucaramanga win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Atletico Bucaramanga
60.76% ( 0.11)	23.46% ( -0.01)	15.78% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 42.87% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.47% (

-0.12)

55.53% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.29% (

-0.1)

76.71% (

0.1)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.02% (

-0.01)

17.98% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.17% (

-0.01)

48.83% (

0.01)

Atletico Bucaramanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.27% (

-0.2)

47.73% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.97% (

-0.15)

83.03% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 60.75%

Atletico Bucaramanga 15.78%

Draw 23.46%

Fortaleza	Draw	Atletico Bucaramanga
1-0 @ 14.72% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 12.63% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 60.75%	1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.53% Total : 23.46%	0-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 15.78%