FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
0 - 4
Brighton

FT(HT: 0-2)

Rutter (37', 45+2'), Enciso (59'), March (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Norwich City and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions

Last Game: Norwich 2-1 Coventry
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Last Game: Brighton 1-1 Arsenal
Saturday, January 4 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.69%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
44.04% ( 0.02)	22.93% ( 0.07)	33.02% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 64.53% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.52% (

-0.39)

36.48% (

0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.37% (

-0.43)

58.62% (

0.43)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.92% (

-0.15)

17.08% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.73% (

-0.27)

47.26% (

0.26)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.82% (

-0.23)

22.18% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.42% (

-0.35)

55.58% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Norwich City 44.04%

Brighton & Hove Albion 33.02%

Draw 22.93%

Norwich City	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.54% Other @ 4.23% Total : 44.04%	1-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.93%	1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.39% Total : 33.02%