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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 13, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
The Den
Dagenham & Redbridge

Millwall
3 - 0
Dag & Red

Ivanovic (30'), De Norre (70'), Bangura-Williams (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rees (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's FA Cup clash between Millwall and Dagenham & Redbridge, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-2 Millwall
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Championship

Dagenham & Redbridge

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Forest Green 1-1 Dag & Red
Wednesday, January 8 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 55.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 20.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Dagenham & Redbridge win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawDagenham & Redbridge
55.74% (-1.045 -1.04)24.24% (0.364 0.36)20.03% (0.682 0.68)
Both teams to score 48.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.35% (-0.565 -0.56)52.64% (0.566 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.71% (-0.486 -0.49)74.29% (0.486 0.49)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.23% (-0.604 -0.6)18.77% (0.605 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.83% (-1.019 -1.02)50.17% (1.02 1.02)
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.14% (0.425 0.43)40.86% (-0.423 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.57% (0.377 0.38)77.43% (-0.375 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 55.73%
    Dagenham & Redbridge 20.03%
    Draw 24.23%
MillwallDrawDagenham & Redbridge
1-0 @ 12.82% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.73% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.98% (-0.218 -0.22)
3-1 @ 5.36% (-0.131 -0.13)
4-0 @ 2.5% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 55.73%
1-1 @ 11.48% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 7.67% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 24.23%
0-1 @ 6.86% (0.23 0.23)
1-2 @ 5.14% (0.133 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.07% (0.137 0.14)
1-3 @ 1.53% (0.057 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 20.03%

How you voted: Millwall vs Dag & Red

Millwall
81.7%
Dagenham & Redbridge
18.3%
120
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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