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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round
Nov 3, 2024 at 2pm UK
Tameside Stadium
Mansfield Town

Curzon Ashton
0 - 4
Mansfield


Spencer (73'), Mahon (80')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Akins (15' pen.), Quinn (30'), Waine (73'), Quinn (86')
Maris (23'), Quinn (70'), Oshilaja (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Curzon Ashton and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Curzon Ashton

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 4-0 Chester
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League North

Mansfield Town

All competitions
Last Game: Mansfield 3-0 Newcastle U21s
Tuesday, October 29 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 56.98%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 18.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.27%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 1-0 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Curzon AshtonDrawMansfield Town
18.84% (-1.209 -1.21)24.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)56.98% (1.197 1.2)
Both teams to score 46.38% (-1.892 -1.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.11% (-1.528 -1.53)53.88% (1.525 1.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.66% (-1.299 -1.3)75.34% (1.296 1.3)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.09% (-2.24 -2.24)42.91% (2.237 2.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.78% (-1.956 -1.96)79.21% (1.951 1.95)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.23% (-0.125 -0.13)18.76% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.84% (-0.208 -0.21)50.16% (0.203 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Curzon Ashton 18.84%
    Mansfield Town 56.98%
    Draw 24.17%
Curzon AshtonDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 6.81% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-1 @ 4.82% (-0.332 -0.33)
2-0 @ 2.88% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-1 @ 1.36% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-2 @ 1.14% (-0.16 -0.16)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 18.84%
1-1 @ 11.39% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.05% (0.47 0.47)
2-2 @ 4.03% (-0.295 -0.3)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 24.17%
0-1 @ 13.47% (0.74 0.74)
0-2 @ 11.27% (0.58 0.58)
1-2 @ 9.54% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-3 @ 6.29% (0.297 0.3)
1-3 @ 5.32% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.63% (0.115 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-4 @ 2.23% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 56.98%

How you voted: Curzon Ashton vs Mansfield

Curzon Ashton
22.2%
Draw
11.1%
Mansfield Town
66.7%
18