FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK

Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth
5 - 1
West Brom

Kluivert (27'), Ouattara (34', 44'), Semenyo (47'), Jebbison (90+2')
Semenyo (60')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Taylor (14')
Holgate (18'), Taylor (45+1'), Furlong (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Bournemouth and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions

Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Everton
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 1-1 West Brom
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
Bournemouth	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
42.18% ( -0.01)	25.52% ( -0.02)	32.3% ( 0.03)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Bournemouth	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.89% 2-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.28% 4-2 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 42.18%	1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.51%	0-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.16% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 32.3%