Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.