Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.35%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.