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Europa League

Olympiacos
Europa League | League Stage
Jan 30, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stadio Georgios Karaiskaki
Qarabag

Olympiacos
3 - 0
Qarabag

El Kaabi (56', 60'), Biancone (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Medina (16'), Romao (41'), Zoubir (61'), Vesovic (79'), Addai (83'), Gurbanli (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Olympiacos and Qarabag FK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Olympiacos

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Olympiacos 1-1 Panathinaikos
Sunday, January 26 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague

Qarabag FK

All competitions
Last Game: Qarabag 2-3 FCSB
Thursday, January 23 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 52.51%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 24.48% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.

Result
OlympiacosDrawQarabag FK
52.51% (-0.052 -0.05)23.01% (0.016000000000002 0.02)24.48% (0.037000000000003 0.04)
Both teams to score 57.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.4% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)42.59% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)65% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Olympiacos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.75% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)16.25% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.22% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)45.78% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.98% (0.015000000000001 0.02)31.02% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.67% (0.016999999999996 0.02)67.33% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Olympiacos 52.51%
    Qarabag FK 24.48%
    Draw 23.01%
OlympiacosDrawQarabag FK
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 9.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.32% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.9% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.68% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.29% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 52.51%
1-1 @ 10.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.04% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.01%
1-2 @ 6.28% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.9% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.45% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.45% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 24.48%

How you voted: Olympiacos vs Qarabag

Olympiacos
87.7%
Draw
6.1%
Qarabag FK
6.1%
114
Head to Head
Oct 13, 2022 5.45pm
Group Stage
Qarabag
0-0
Olympiacos
> Preview
Oct 6, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Olympiacos
0-3
Qarabag
Kwabena (68'), Vesovic (82'), Seydayev (86')
> Preview
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