Europa League

Europa League | League Stage

Jan 30, 2025 at 8pm UK

Stadio Georgios Karaiskaki

Olympiacos
3 - 0
Qarabag

El Kaabi (56', 60'), Biancone (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Medina (16'), Romao (41'), Zoubir (61'), Vesovic (79'), Addai (83'), Gurbanli (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Olympiacos and Qarabag FK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Olympiacos

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Olympiacos 1-1 Panathinaikos
Sunday, January 26 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

Qarabag FK

All competitions

Last Game: Qarabag 2-3 FCSB
Thursday, January 23 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 52.51%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 24.48% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.

Result
Olympiacos	Draw	Qarabag FK
52.51% ( -0.05)	23.01% ( 0.02)	24.48% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 57.77% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.4% (

-0.03)

42.59% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35% (

-0.03)

65% (

0.03)

Olympiacos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.75% (

-0.03)

16.25% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.22% (

-0.05)

45.78% (

0.05)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.98% (

0.02)

31.02% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.67% (

0.02)

67.33% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Olympiacos 52.51%

Qarabag FK 24.48%

Draw 23.01%

Olympiacos	Draw	Qarabag FK
2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 3.38% Total : 52.51%	1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.01%	1-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 24.48%