Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 50.68%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 27.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.87%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.