Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 56.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 18.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.65%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Bodo/Glimt win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.