Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 22.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.