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Championship header 2

League One
Carlisle United
League One | Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Brunton Park
Peterborough United

Carlisle
1 - 1
Peterborough

Gibson (90+6')
Back (76'), Moxon (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Edwards (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Wycombe 2-0 Carlisle
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

Peterborough United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

We said: Carlisle United 0-2 Peterborough United

 Peterborough have taken only two points from their last three games, but we expect them to better that tally on Tuesday alone by beating Carlisle. Simpson's side look like they may be lacking quality in order to survive at this level, but they will continue to fight hard and will not make things easy for their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Peterborough United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Peterborough United.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawPeterborough United
31.78% (-0.45 -0.45) 24.9% (-0.199 -0.2) 43.32% (0.65 0.65)
Both teams to score 56.9% (0.498 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.75% (0.727 0.73)46.25% (-0.723 -0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.46% (0.683 0.68)68.55% (-0.67699999999999 -0.68)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.38% (0.070999999999998 0.07)27.63% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.84% (0.090000000000003 0.09)63.16% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.62% (0.61199999999999 0.61)21.38% (-0.608 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.64% (0.932 0.93)54.36% (-0.928 -0.93)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 31.78%
    Peterborough United 43.32%
    Draw 24.9%
Carlisle UnitedDrawPeterborough United
1-0 @ 7.6% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 7.54% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-0 @ 4.89% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.1% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 31.78%
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 5.91% (-0.183 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.058 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.9%
0-1 @ 9.11% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-2 @ 9.04% (0.073 0.07)
0-2 @ 7.03% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.65% (0.122 0.12)
0-3 @ 3.61% (0.087 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.99% (0.084 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.79% (0.078 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.39% (0.059 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.15% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 43.32%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Peterborough

Carlisle United
14.3%
Draw
14.3%
Peterborough United
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2014 3pm
First Round
Peterborough
2-1
Carlisle
Burgess (42', 91')
Vassell (45')
Asamoah (8')
Apr 21, 2014 3pm
Peterborough
4-1
Carlisle
Washington (14'), Assombalonga (55' pen., 73' pen.), Bostwick (90')
Baldwin (19'), Nugent (53')
Miller (63')
Pickford (73')
Dec 29, 2013 3pm
Carlisle
2-1
Peterborough
Amoo (72', 73')
Noble (19'), Buaben (42'), O'Hanlon (60')
Tomlin (61')
Assombalonga (49'), Swanson (68'), Little (90'), Tomlin (90')
Ephraim (52')
> Match Report
Mar 12, 2011 3pm
Peterborough
6-0
Carlisle
Bennett (77'), Rowe (2'), Boyd (45', 83'), Mackail-Smith (24'), Ball (90')

Curran (41'), Cooper (45'), Berrett (90')
Cooper (63')
Oct 2, 2010 3pm
Carlisle
0-1
Peterborough
Mackail-Smith (32')
McLean (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030
> League One Full Table


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