Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 73.39%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 10.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.64%) and 3-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 0-1 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.