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World Cup

Dominica national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 4, 2025 at 8pm UK
Windsor Park
British Virgin Islands national football team

Dominica
2 - 0
British Virgin I.

HT

(23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Dominica and British Virgin Islands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dominica

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Dominica 0-0 Barbados
Sunday, May 11 at 9pm in International Friendlies

British Virgin Islands

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: St Vincent & Gr. 1-1 British Virgin I.
Friday, May 30 at 1am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Dominica win with a probability of 53.42%. A draw has a probability of 24.6% and a win for British Virgin Islands has a probability of 22.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dominica win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.67%), while for a British Virgin Islands win it is 0-1 (7.09%).

Result
DominicaDrawBritish Virgin Islands
53.42% (-1.426 -1.43)24.56% (-0.293 -0.29)22.02% (1.718 1.72)
Both teams to score 49.82% (3.137 3.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.3% (2.96 2.96)51.7% (-2.962 -2.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.52% (2.513 2.51)73.47% (-2.514 -2.51)
Dominica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.7% (0.586 0.59)19.3% (-0.588 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.95% (0.955 0.95)51.05% (-0.957 -0.96)
British Virgin Islands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.74% (3.461 3.46)38.26% (-3.465 -3.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.98% (3.173 3.17)75.02% (-3.176 -3.18)
Score Analysis
    Dominica 53.41%
    British Virgin Islands 22.02%
    Draw 24.56%
DominicaDrawBritish Virgin Islands
1-0 @ 12.14% (-1.26 -1.26)
2-0 @ 9.99% (-0.829 -0.83)
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.14 0.14)
3-0 @ 5.48% (-0.347 -0.35)
3-1 @ 5.26% (0.171 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.303 0.3)
4-0 @ 2.25% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.17% (0.109 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.141 0.14)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 53.41%
1-1 @ 11.67% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.38% (-0.913 -0.91)
2-2 @ 4.61% (0.477 0.48)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 24.56%
0-1 @ 7.09% (-0.159 -0.16)
1-2 @ 5.61% (0.487 0.49)
0-2 @ 3.41% (0.238 0.24)
1-3 @ 1.8% (0.304 0.3)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.272 0.27)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.168 0.17)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 22.02%

How you voted: Dominica vs British Virgin I.

Dominica
84.6%
Draw
7.7%
British Virgin Islands
7.7%
26
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2023 7pm
League C
British Virgin I.
1-2
Dominica
Gallimore (63')
Kiwomya (51'), Marshall (57'), Gallimore (66')
Laville (52'), Marshall (67')
Jules (50'), Thomas (81')
Oct 12, 2023 10pm
League C
Dominica
1-1
British Virgin I.
Thomas (83')
Jules (83')
Chalwell (29')
Septus (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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