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[monks data]
Denmark national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Parken
Slovenia national football team
Denmark
vs.
Slovenia

Preview: Denmark vs. Slovenia - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Denmark and Slovenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Denmark and Slovenia square off on Friday knowing that the winner of this contest will secure automatic qualification for Euro 2024 with a game to spare.

However, with a four-point gap ahead of third-placed Kazakhstan in Group H, these two nations effectively get two bites of the cherry to earn a spot at next year's tournament.


Match preview

Denmark's Robert Skov celebrates scoring their third goal with teammates on October 14, 2023© Reuters

There will be those that say - with justification - that Denmark have made somewhat of a meal of trying to progress from what was a favourable group.

As well as defeat in Kazakhstan, late goals were required to defeat Finland on both occasions, and VAR was in their favour as they edged past Northern Ireland.

Nevertheless, the end result is Denmark accumulating 19 points from their eight games, leaving them requiring just one win from their final two fixtures to guarantee qualification.

Although they are assured of a playoff spot, Kasper Hjulmand will naturally want their place at Euro 2024 secured as soon as possible, particularly when there is a scenario where defeat to Slovenia, and Kazakhstan beating Slovenia in their next game, would likely leave them needing to beat Northern Ireland.

That is all ifs and buts, though, and Hjulmand will be confident that his team can extend their undefeated streak to seven matches at a time when they have not lost on home territory since June 2022.

Slovenia's Benjamin Sesko celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on October 14, 2023© Reuters

From Slovenia's perspective, this fixture is far more important given that they do not have the security of a guaranteed place in the playoffs.

Like with Denmark, one win from two games will get them to Euro 2024, but facing Denmark away is their toughest fixture on paper and they could find themselves under enormous pressure if they have to avoid defeat to Kazakhstan in their final fixture.

Form is in their favour with four successive victories being posted, with a 3-0 triumph at home to Finland being followed by a battling 1-0 success away in Northern Ireland.

Matjaz Kek's team have also lost just once in 14 matches - a period lasting since June 2022 - and they will back themselves to get over the line, whether it is on Friday or Monday.

Denmark Euro Champ Qualifying form:

Slovenia Euro Champ Qualifying form:

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Team News

Manchester United attacker Rasmus Hojlund after picking up an injury on November 11, 2023© Reuters

Denmark will line up with at least four different players from the San Marino fixture due to the absences of Elias Jelert, Simon Kjaer, Christian Eriksen and Rasmus Hojlund.

Rasmus Kristensen and Andreas Christensen appear most likely to be recalled at right-back and centre-back respectively.

Mathias Jensen or Thomas Delaney should get an opportunity in midfield, while Yussuf Poulsen may edge out Jonas Wind for the role down the centre of the attack.

Kek, meanwhile, could select the same Slovenia XI from the away fixture in Northern Ireland, a game which they won through a Adam Gnezda Cerin free kick.

If a change is made, Jasmin Kurtic could be brought into central midfield with Andraz Sporar potentially making way.


Denmark possible starting lineup:
Schmeichel; Kristensen, Christensen, Andersen, Maehle; Hojbjerg, Norgaard, Jensen; Lindstrom, Poulsen, Daramy

Slovenia possible starting lineup:
Oblak; Karnicnik, Blazic, Bijol, Janza; Mlakar, Elsnik, Cerin, Stojanovic; Sporar, Sesko


SM words green background

We say: Denmark 2-1 Slovenia

Denmark have been far from convincing throughout this qualification campaign, as shown during the fixture with San Marino. Nevertheless, home advantage could prove key on Friday, leading us to predict a hard-fought victory over their group rivals.



For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here.


Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data

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Data Pass: [t, euro-2024, odds, 3526490]
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Who will win Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Denmark and Slovenia?

Denmark
Draw
Slovenia
Denmark
72.7%
Draw
18.2%
Slovenia
9.1%
77
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Manchester United attacker Rasmus Hojlund after picking up an injury on November 11, 2023
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain760118
Q Scotland flag Scotland751116
3 Norway Norway731310
4 Georgia Georgia72238
5 Cyprus Cyprus80080

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q France France660018
2 Netherlands Netherlands640212
3 Greece Greece740312
4 Ireland Rep. Ireland72056
5 Gibraltar flag Gibraltar60060

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England651016
2 Ukraine Ukraine741213
3 Italy Italy631210
4 Macedonia N. Macedonia62137
5 Malta flag Malta70070

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Turkey Turkey751116
2 Wales flag Wales631210
3 Croatia Croatia631210
4 Armenia Armenia62137
5 Latvia Latvia71063

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania742114
2 Czech Republic Czech Republic632111
3 Republic of Moldova Moldova724110
4 Poland Poland731310
5 Faroe Islands Faroe Islands70161

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria861119
Q Belgium Belgium752017
3 Sweden Sweden72147
4 Azerbaijan Azerbaijan72147
5 Estonia Estonia70161

Group G

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Hungary Hungary743015
2 Serbia Serbia741213
3 Montenegro Montenegro732211
4 Lithuania Lithuania81346
5 Bulgaria Bulgaria70343

Group H

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Slovenia Slovenia861119
2 Denmark Denmark861119
3 Kazakhstan Kazakhstan960318
4 Finland Finland950415
5 Northern Ireland flag N. Ireland92076
6 San Marino flag San Marino90090

Group I

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Switzerland Switzerland844016
2 Romania Romania844016
3 Israel Israel833212
4 Kosovo flag Kosovo824210
5 Belarus Belarus81346
6 Andorra flag Andorra80262

Group J

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal990027
Q Slovakia Slovakia961219
3 Luxembourg flag Luxembourg942314
4 Iceland Iceland931510
5 Bosnia Bosnia H'vina93069
6 Liechtenstein flag Liechtenstein90090

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