CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage | 2nd Leg

Jun 19, 2025 at 12am UK

AT&T Stadium

Costa Rica
2 - 1
Dominican Rep.

(Dominican Republic win 5-3 on aggregate)

Ugalde (44' pen.), Alcocer (85')
Mora (41'), Ugalde (49'), Alcocer (87'), Vargas (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Urbaez (16')
Urbaez (49'), de Lucas (75'), Rosario (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Costa Rica and Dominican Republic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Costa Rica

All competitions

Last Game: USA 3-0 Costa Rica
Thursday, January 23 at 12am in International Friendlies

Next Game: Bahamas vs. Costa Rica
Sunday, June 8 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Colombia	3	4	7
2	Brazil	3	3	5
3	Costa Rica	3	-2	4
4	Paraguay	3	-5	0

Dominican Republic

All competitions

Last Game: Dominican Rep. 2-0 Puerto Rico
Wednesday, March 26 at 12am in International Friendlies

Next Game: Guatemala vs. Dominican Rep.
Saturday, June 7 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Current League B Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nicaragua	0	0	0
2	Dominican Republic	0	0	0
3	Barbados	0	0	0
4	Montserrat	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Costa Rica win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for Dominican Republic has a probability of 27.62% and a draw has a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Dominican Republic win is 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.74%).

Result
Costa Rica	Draw	Dominican Republic
49.05%	23.32%	27.62%

Both teams to score 59.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.65%

41.34%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.26%

63.74%

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.95%

17.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.8%

47.2%

Dominican Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.04%

27.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.41%

63.59%

Score Analysis

Costa Rica 49.05%

Dominican Republic 27.62%

Draw 23.32%

Costa Rica	Draw	Dominican Republic
2-1 @ 9.51% 1-0 @ 8.43% 2-0 @ 7.46% 3-1 @ 5.61% 3-0 @ 4.4% 3-2 @ 3.57% 4-1 @ 2.48% 4-0 @ 1.95% 4-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 4.07% Total : 49.05%	1-1 @ 10.74% 2-2 @ 6.06% 0-0 @ 4.77% 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.32%	1-2 @ 6.85% 0-1 @ 6.07% 0-2 @ 3.87% 1-3 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 2.57% 0-3 @ 1.64% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.78% Total : 27.62%