Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Aug 25, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus
Lanus
2 - 0
Gimnasia
Manuel Lopez (14'), Gonzalez (36')
Belmonte (28'), Bernabei (34'), Thaller (35'), Manuel Lopez (44'), Aguirre (83')
Belmonte (28'), Bernabei (34'), Thaller (35'), Manuel Lopez (44'), Aguirre (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Lanus and Gimnasia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 46.6%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 46.6% | 26.99% | 26.4% |
| Both teams to score 47.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
