Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 48.48%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Independiente in this match.
