Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Mar 21, 2021 at 5pm UK
Estadio Eva Perón de Junín
Sarmiento
3 - 1
Defensa
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Sarmiento and Defensa y Justicia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 46.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 26.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.19%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 1-0 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 26.04% | 27.18% | 46.78% |
| Both teams to score 46.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
