MX23RW : Wednesday, June 7 01:01:45| >> :60:2268:2268:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Jun 6, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Penarol
0 - 3
Defensa

Arezo (29'), Alonso (65'), Rossi (67'), Menosse (68'), Rak (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Togni (42'), Fernandez (50'), Solari (87')
Gutierrez (53'), Soto (76')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Penarol and Defensa y Justicia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: La Luz 3-2 Penarol
Saturday, June 3 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 0-0 Defensa
Saturday, June 3 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Penarol 0-2 Defensa y Justicia

Considering the game means very little to Penarol, and Defensa y Justicia won the reverse fixture by a three-goal margin, we expect the visitors to emerge as comfortable victors on Tuesday evening. Defensa have looked very solid in recent weeks, losing just one of their last 11 games in all competitions, and they have displayed they have what it takes to book their place in the next round of the Copa Sudamericana. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Defensa y Justicia has a probability of 29.34% and a draw has a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win is 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.13%).

Result
PenarolDrawDefensa y Justicia
42.36% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08) 28.3% (0.044999999999998 0.04) 29.34% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 45.41% (-0.103 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.5% (-0.136 -0.14)60.5% (0.137 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.38% (-0.105 -0.11)80.62% (0.10499999999999 0.1)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.76% (-0.11 -0.11)28.24% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.06% (-0.137 -0.14)63.94% (0.137 0.14)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.28% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)36.72% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.49% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)73.51% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 42.36%
    Defensa y Justicia 29.33%
    Draw 28.28%
PenarolDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 13.11% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.31% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.29% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.5% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 42.36%
1-1 @ 13.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.36% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.28%
0-1 @ 10.38% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.2% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.2% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.74% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 29.33%

How you voted: Penarol vs Defensa

Penarol
50.0%
Draw
10.0%
Defensa y Justicia
40.0%
10
Head to Head
May 5, 2023 1am
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
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10Fulham38157165553252
11Crystal Palace381112154049-945
12Chelsea381111163847-944
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RSouthampton3867253673-3725

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