Melo (4'), Zapata (85')
Flores (64')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hermanos Colmenares win with a probability of 47.25%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Deportivo La Guaira had a probability of 25.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hermanos Colmenares win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Deportivo La Guaira win it was 0-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hermanos Colmenares would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hermanos Colmenares | Draw | Deportivo La Guaira |
| 47.25% | 26.76% | 25.98% |
| Both teams to score 47.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
