MX23RW : Tuesday, October 17 16:01:35| >> :60:228:228:
Defensa y Justicia
Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Aug 30, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Florencio Sola
Botafogo logo
Defensa
2 - 1
Botafogo
Fernandez (15', 72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bologna (45+3' og.)
Costa (45+2')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Defensa y Justicia and Botafogo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Platense 0-0 Defensa
Sunday, August 27 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Botafogo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Botafogo 3-0 Bahia
Sunday, August 27 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Defensa y Justicia 1-1 Botafogo

 While the visitors have been excellent this season, their recent away form has been less impressive, with four straight draws in all competitions and failing to score in their last three. We do expect them to get a goal here, but we feel that the hosts will do as they did in the first leg and level proceedings by the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 48.66%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 24.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawBotafogo
48.66% (0.41399999999999 0.41) 27.1% (-0.278 -0.28) 24.24% (-0.13 -0.13)
Both teams to score 45.15% (0.609 0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.93% (0.848 0.85)59.07% (-0.841 -0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.48% (0.652 0.65)79.52% (-0.645 -0.64)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.61% (0.57600000000001 0.58)24.39% (-0.569 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.2% (0.799 0.8)58.81% (-0.792 -0.79)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.72% (0.359 0.36)40.28% (-0.352 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.09% (0.323 0.32)76.91% (-0.316 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 48.66%
    Botafogo 24.24%
    Draw 27.09%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawBotafogo
1-0 @ 13.86% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-0 @ 9.78% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.096 0.1)
3-0 @ 4.6% (0.08 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.18% (0.113 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.055 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.48% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 48.66%
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 9.83% (-0.315 -0.32)
2-2 @ 4.04% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.09%
0-1 @ 8.93% (-0.2 -0.2)
1-2 @ 5.73% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.06% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 24.24%

How you voted: Defensa vs Botafogo

Defensa y Justicia
46.2%
Draw
15.4%
Botafogo
38.5%
13
Head to Head
Aug 23, 2023 11pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Botafogo
1-1
Defensa
Gabriel (56')
Gabriel (29'), Tche (43'), Pedro Galvao de Carvalho (51'), Cuesta (90+3')
Tripichio (78')
Malatini (22')
> Preview
Feb 21, 2019 12.30am
First stage
Defensa
0-3
Botafogo

Castro (28'), Barboza (41'), Tripichio (62'), Fernandez (68')
Lima (53', 75'), Santana (81')
Fernando (21'), Jean (26'), Fernandez (40'), Marcinho (52'), Kieza (63'), Pimpao (66')
Marcinho (68')
Feb 6, 2019 11.30pm
First stage
Botafogo
1-0
Defensa
Lima (94')
Marcinho (6'), Fernando (33'), Carli (60')

Barboza (37'), Martinez (92')
rhs 2.0
MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
Today's games header
FT
Cowboys
20-17
Chargers
Result
De Minaur
Draper
4 77 77
6 64 61
Result
Shimabukuro
Garin
4 6 3
6 3 6
Result
Fritz
Norrie
6 6
4 3
Result
Popyrin
Khachanov
6 6
4 2
Result
Shelton
Daniel
3 6 77
6 4 62
Result
Cerundolo
Schwartzman
4 1
6 6
7.30am
Mochizuki
Martin Etcheverry
10am
Watanuki
Ruud
11.30am
Karatsev
Tiafoe
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Tottenham HotspurSpurs86201881020
2Arsenal86201661020
3Manchester CityMan City86021761118
4Liverpool8521189917
5Aston Villa85121912716
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton85122116516
7West Ham UnitedWest Ham84221512314
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle84132091113
9Crystal Palace833277012
10Manchester UnitedMan Utd8404912-312
11Chelsea8323117411
12Fulham8323813-511
13Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest8233810-29
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves8224914-58
15Brentford81431112-17
16Everton8215912-37
17Luton TownLuton8116615-94
18Burnley8116720-134
19Bournemouth8035518-133
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd8017622-161
> Premier League Full Table
MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
New Apple Music general promo - 300x250
Media Mole RHS news promo
Freddie Flintoff 'agrees £9m compensation deal with BBC'
Freddie Flintoff 'agrees £9m compensation deal with BBC'
The Masked Singer films Christmas special?
The Masked Singer films Christmas special?
The X Factor winner Matt Terry opens up on "dark time" after show
The X Factor winner Matt Terry opens up on "dark time" after show
Coronation Street's Charlotte Jordan: 'Daisy heartbroken for Ryan over steroid use'
Coronation Street's Charlotte Jordan: 'Daisy heartbroken for Ryan over steroid use'
Picture Spoilers: Next week on Coronation Street (Oct 23-25)
Picture Spoilers: Next week on Coronation Street (Oct 23-25)

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!