Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 63.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 15.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
