Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Fortaleza.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 67.25%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 12.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
