Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
