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Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 7, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal Cartagonova
Valencia logo
Cartagena
1 - 2
Valencia
Ortuno (4')
Alarcon (40'), Calero (41'), Fontan (45+4'), Musto (47')
Calero (45+1')
FT
(aet)
Canos (73'), Gaya (106')
Pepelu (40'), Ozkacar (58')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Copa del Rey clash between Cartagena and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Cartagena

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Huesca 3-0 Cartagena
Thursday, December 21 at 6pm in Segunda Division

Valencia

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Valencia 3-1 Villarreal
Tuesday, January 2 at 8.30pm in La Liga

We say: Cartagena 0-3 Valencia

 While Cartagena have stood strong in their first two cup outings, their second-tier form is a cause for concern, while their attacking record leaves a lot to be desired. Returning to action with momentum in the camp, Valencia should have more than enough to outclass their visitors and cruise through to the final 16 in relatively comfortable fashion. Read more.
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 36.97%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.62%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 1-0 (11.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%).

Result
CartagenaDrawValencia
34.08% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05) 28.94% (0.0030000000000001 0) 36.97% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 44.96% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.31% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)61.68% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.5% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)81.5% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.11% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)33.89% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.44% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)70.56% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.01% (0.024000000000001 0.02)31.99% (-0.024000000000004 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.55% (0.027000000000001 0.03)68.45% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Cartagena 34.08%
    Valencia 36.97%
    Draw 28.94%
CartagenaDrawValencia
1-0 @ 11.73%
2-1 @ 7.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.61% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.29% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 34.08%
1-1 @ 13.37%
0-0 @ 10.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.94%
0-1 @ 12.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 7.04% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.9% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.68% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 36.97%

How you voted: Cartagena vs Valencia

Cartagena
17.6%
Draw
17.6%
Valencia
64.7%
34

Prediction and betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.
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Jan 5, 2022 3pm
Round of 32
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Boateng (37'), Vazquez (45+2'), Bodiger (62'), Gallar (71'), de la Bella (80')
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