Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 48.75%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Arosa had a probability of 24.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for an Arosa win it was 1-0 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Valencia in this match.