Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Suriname had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Suriname win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jamaica would win this match.