World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Oct 15, 2024 at 9.30pm UK

Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez

Colombia
4 - 0
Chile

Sanchez (34'), Diaz (52'), Duran (82'), Sinisterra (90+3')
Cordoba (37'), Mojica (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tapia (65'), Pulgar (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Colombia and Chile, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colombia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Bolivia 1-0 Colombia
Thursday, October 10 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	9	8	19
2	Colombia	9	3	16
3	Uruguay	9	7	15
4	Ecuador	9	2	15
5	Brazil	9	2	13
6	Bolivia	9	-4	12
7	Venezuela	9	-1	11
8	Paraguay	9	-1	10
9	Peru	9	-7	6
10	Chile	9	-9	5

Chile

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Chile 1-2 Brazil
Friday, October 11 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	9	8	19
2	Colombia	9	3	16
3	Uruguay	9	7	15
4	Ecuador	9	2	15
5	Brazil	9	2	13
6	Bolivia	9	-4	12
7	Venezuela	9	-1	11
8	Paraguay	9	-1	10
9	Peru	9	-7	6
10	Chile	9	-9	5

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 55.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Chile had a probability of 18.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.

Result
Colombia	Draw	Chile
55.29% ( -0.12)	25.85% ( 0.12)	18.86% ( -0.01)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Colombia	Draw	Chile
1-0 @ 15.35% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 11.72% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.83% Total : 55.28%	1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.49% Total : 25.85%	0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.98% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 18.86%