Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Guangzhou Evergrande had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Guangzhou Evergrande win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
