Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Swansea City |
| 30.1% | 27.55% | 42.34% |
| Both teams to score 47.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.37% | 57.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.6% | 78.39% |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.41% | 34.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.68% | 71.31% |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.11% | 26.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.79% | 62.21% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 9.87% 2-1 @ 6.88% 2-0 @ 5.24% 3-1 @ 2.44% 3-0 @ 1.86% 3-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.21% Total : 30.1% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 9.3% 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.55% | 0-1 @ 12.21% 1-2 @ 8.52% 0-2 @ 8.02% 1-3 @ 3.73% 0-3 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 1.23% 0-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.98% Total : 42.33% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Burnley | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 68 | 28 | 40 | 76 |
| 2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 64 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 56 | 40 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 55 |
| 5 | Millwall | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 53 |
| 6 | Luton TownLuton | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 53 |
| 7 | Norwich CityNorwich | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 52 |
| 8 | Watford | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 50 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 49 |
| 10 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 48 |
| 11 | Coventry CityCoventry | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 48 |
| 12 | Preston North EndPreston | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 45 |
| 13 | Bristol City | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 44 |
| 14 | Reading | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 44 |
| 15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 43 |
| 16 | Hull City | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 |
| 17 | Stoke CityStoke | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 40 |
| 18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 39 |
| 19 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 38 |
| 20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 37 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 35 |
| 22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 31 |
| 23 | Blackpool | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 31 |
| 24 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 31 |
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