

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 36.35%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (10.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 36.2% | 27.46% | 36.35% |
| Both teams to score 49.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.82% | 56.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.77% | 77.23% |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.29% | 29.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.23% | 65.77% |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.38% | 29.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.34% | 65.66% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 10.68% 2-1 @ 7.89% 2-0 @ 6.48% 3-1 @ 3.19% 3-0 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.43% Total : 36.2% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 8.8% 2-2 @ 4.8% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 10.7% 1-2 @ 7.91% 0-2 @ 6.51% 1-3 @ 3.21% 0-3 @ 2.64% 2-3 @ 1.95% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.45% Total : 36.34% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Burnley | 45 | 28 | 14 | 3 | 84 | 35 | 49 | 98 |
| P | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 44 | 27 | 7 | 10 | 71 | 37 | 34 | 88 |
| 3 | Luton TownLuton | 45 | 21 | 16 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 79 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 22 | 8 | 15 | 83 | 55 | 28 | 74 |
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 45 | 18 | 15 | 12 | 57 | 45 | 12 | 69 |
| 6 | Millwall | 45 | 19 | 11 | 15 | 54 | 46 | 8 | 68 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 45 | 17 | 15 | 13 | 65 | 55 | 10 | 66 |
| 8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 66 |
| 9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 66 |
| 10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 17 | 12 | 16 | 65 | 62 | 3 | 63 |
| 11 | Preston North EndPreston | 45 | 17 | 12 | 16 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 63 |
| 12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 62 |
| 13 | Watford | 45 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 54 | 53 | 1 | 60 |
| 14 | Hull City | 45 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 57 |
| 15 | Bristol City | 45 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 56 |
| 16 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 55 | 52 | 3 | 53 |
| 17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 53 |
| 18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 50 |
| 19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 49 |
| 20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 41 | 55 | -14 | 49 |
| 21 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 44 | 12 | 11 | 21 | 44 | 62 | -18 | 47 |
| 22 | Reading | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 44 |
| R | Blackpool | 45 | 10 | 11 | 24 | 47 | 72 | -25 | 41 |
| R | Wigan AthleticWigan | 45 | 10 | 14 | 21 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 41 |
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