Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.65%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (11.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Coventry City | Draw | Millwall |
| 38.27% | 29.34% | 32.39% |
| Both teams to score 43.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.8% | 63.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.39% | 82.6% |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.04% | 31.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.59% | 68.41% |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.11% | 35.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.33% | 72.66% |
| Score Analysis |
| Coventry City | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 13.08% 2-1 @ 7.65% 2-0 @ 7.46% 3-1 @ 2.91% 3-0 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.84% Total : 38.26% | 1-1 @ 13.4% 0-0 @ 11.46% 2-2 @ 3.92% Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.33% | 0-1 @ 11.75% 1-2 @ 6.87% 0-2 @ 6.02% 1-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 2% Total : 32.39% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Burnley | 31 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
| 2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 51 | 24 | 27 | 61 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 36 | 14 | 51 |
| 4 | Luton TownLuton | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 49 |
| 5 | Sunderland | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 46 | 33 | 13 | 48 |
| 6 | Watford | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 47 |
| 7 | Millwall | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 46 |
| 8 | Norwich CityNorwich | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 45 |
| 9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 30 | 14 | 3 | 13 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 45 |
| 10 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 44 |
| 11 | Coventry CityCoventry | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 42 |
| 12 | Hull City | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 41 |
| 13 | Reading | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 41 |
| 14 | Preston North EndPreston | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 | Bristol City | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 39 |
| 16 | Swansea CitySwansea | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 39 |
| 17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 39 |
| 18 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 38 |
| 19 | Stoke CityStoke | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 34 |
| 20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 33 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 32 |
| 22 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 29 |
| 23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 28 |
| 24 | Blackpool | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 28 |
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