Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 14.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.7%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Sheriff Tiraspol win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.