Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 51.44%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.