Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Manchester City had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 6.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-2 (5.58%) and 3-1 (5.2%). The likeliest Manchester City win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.