Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 37.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.