The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 47.5%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 23.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 47.5% | 28.66% | 23.83% |
| Both teams to score 40.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
