Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 36.69%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.72%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cuiaba in this match.