Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Ceara and Botafogo.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.
