MX23RW : Thursday, June 27 11:58:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
Bahia
Brasileiro | Gameweek 12
Jun 27, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Vasco da Gama

Bahia
2 - 1
Vasco

Thaciano (7'), Estupinan (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Henrique (20')
Adson (32'), David (38'), Carvalho (55'), Henrique (81')
David (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Vasco da Gama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 4-1 Cruzeiro
Sunday, June 23 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 4-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, June 23 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

We said: Bahia 3-1 Vasco da Gama

 Bahia boast the best home record in the division and are one of only two teams still perfect in front of their fans this term. We can see them cruising to a relatively comfortable win in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 61.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 15.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
BahiaDrawVasco da Gama
61.82% (0.127 0.13) 22.43% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 15.75% (-0.117 -0.12)
Both teams to score 45.63% (-0.209 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.24% (-0.146 -0.15)51.76% (0.146 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.47% (-0.128 -0.13)73.53% (0.127 0.13)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.73% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)16.27% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.19% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)45.81% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.49% (-0.243 -0.24)45.5% (0.242 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.67% (-0.192 -0.19)81.33% (0.193 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 61.81%
    Vasco da Gama 15.75%
    Draw 22.42%
BahiaDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 13.44% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 12.2% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.39% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.35% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 61.81%
1-1 @ 10.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 22.42%
0-1 @ 5.83% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 4.17% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.3% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.09% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 0.99% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 15.75%

How you voted: Bahia vs Vasco

Bahia
78.6%
Draw
14.3%
Vasco da Gama
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 22
Bahia
1-1
Vasco
Ademir (45')
Gilberto (20'), Hugo (88')
Vegetti (63' pen.)
Pele (41'), Medel (72'), Vitor (90+8')
Jair (90+4')
May 2, 2023 12am
Gameweek 3
Vasco
0-1
Bahia
Jan 31, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 33
Vasco
0-0
Bahia
Benitez (16')
Castan (80')
Danielzinho (17'), Gilberto (45'), Rossi (90+9')
Oct 7, 2020 11.15pm
Gameweek 14
Bahia
3-0
Vasco
Rossi (10'), Gilberto (32'), Clayson (45+1')
Gregore (45+2'), Rossi (56'), Ramon (76')

Henrique (20'), Gomes (44'), Pec (77')
Gomes (67')
Dec 5, 2019 10.15pm
Gameweek 37
Bahia
1-1
Vasco
Gilberto (45' pen.)
Flavio (71'), Arthur (80'), Friedrich (91')
Arthur (82')
Marrony (85')
Richard (42'), Bastos (89')
Graca (43')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
 
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
 
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
 
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
 
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 1
vs.
Winner Quarter-final 2
Wednesday, July 10
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 3
vs.
Winner Quarter-final 4
Sunday, July 14
 
8pm
Final
Winner SF1
vs.
Winner SF2
> View full version> Results
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania41215
Q Slovakia Slovakia41215
Q Belgium Belgium31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121
> European Championship 2024 overview


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