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World Cup

Bolivia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal El Alto
Paraguay national football team

Bolivia
2 - 2
Paraguay

Vaca Moreno (15'), Terceros (80' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Almiron (71'), Enciso (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Bolivia and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolivia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Ecuador 4-0 Bolivia
Friday, November 15 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying StandingsPGDPTS
1Argentina111322
2Uruguay11819
3Colombia11619
4Ecuador11619
5Brazil11617
6Paraguay11116
7Venezuela11-212
8Bolivia11-1412
9Peru11-117
10Chile11-136

Paraguay

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Paraguay 2-1 Argentina
Thursday, November 14 at 11.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying StandingsPGDPTS
1Argentina111322
2Uruguay11819
3Colombia11619
4Ecuador11619
5Brazil11617
6Paraguay11116
7Venezuela11-212
8Bolivia11-1412
9Peru11-117
10Chile11-136

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivia win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Paraguay had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 2-1 (7.84%). The likeliest Paraguay win was 0-1 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
BoliviaDrawParaguay
40.92% (0.658 0.66)29.46% (-0.128 -0.13)29.61% (-0.528 -0.53)
Both teams to score 42.49% (0.134 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.82% (0.259 0.26)64.18% (-0.258 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.68% (0.184 0.18)83.31% (-0.18299999999999 -0.18)
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.13% (0.51899999999999 0.52)30.87% (-0.518 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.85% (0.606 0.61)67.15% (-0.604 -0.6)
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.46% (-0.27 -0.27)38.54% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.71% (-0.259 -0.26)75.29% (0.26100000000001 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Bolivia 40.92%
    Paraguay 29.61%
    Draw 29.46%
BoliviaDrawParaguay
1-0 @ 13.98% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.22% (0.154 0.15)
2-1 @ 7.84% (0.09 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.22% (0.105 0.11)
3-1 @ 3.07% (0.079 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.46% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 0.9% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 40.92%
1-1 @ 13.33% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 11.89% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 3.74% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 29.46%
0-1 @ 11.34% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-2 @ 6.36% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.41% (-0.134 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 29.61%

How you voted: Bolivia vs Paraguay

Bolivia
34.6%
Draw
13.6%
Paraguay
51.9%
81
Head to Head
Oct 17, 2023 11.30pm
Group Stage
Paraguay
1-0
Bolivia
Sanabria (69')
Bareiro (42'), Villalba (82')

Roca (42'), Villarroel (42'), Vaca (45+2'), Haquin (59'), Villamil (68')
> Preview
Oct 14, 2021 9pm
Group Stage
Bolivia
4-0
Paraguay
Ramallo (21'), Villarroel (53'), Abrego (84'), Fernandez (90+4')
Ramallo (45+2'), Carlos Arce (78')

Cardozo (43'), Gomez (82')
> Preview
Jun 15, 2021 1am
Group Stage
Paraguay
3-1
Bolivia
Arzamendia (8'), Espinola (45+11')
Bejarano (29'), Cuellar Mendoza (38'), Flores (40')
Cuellar Mendoza (45+9')
> Preview
Nov 17, 2020 11pm
Group Stage
Paraguay
2-2
Bolivia
Romero (19' pen., 72')
Moreno (41'), Cespedes (45')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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