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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 4pm UK
Ķekavas stadions

Auda
1 - 0
Drita

Miguel Costa Monteiro Tavares (8')
Ouedraogo (1'), Talla Gaye (60'), Bosancic (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Broja (41')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Auda and Drita.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auda

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Auda 2-0 Cliftonville
Wednesday, July 31 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Drita

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Drita 1-0 Breidablik
Tuesday, July 30 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auda win with a probability of 60.63%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Drita had a probability of 16.38%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auda win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.08%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Drita win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Auda in this match.

Result
AudaDrawDrita
60.63% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)22.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)16.38% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.36% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)52.85% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.53% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)74.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Auda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.94%17.06% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.77% (0.0040000000000049 0)47.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Drita Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.69% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)45.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)81.18% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Auda 60.62%
    Drita 16.39%
    Draw 22.98%
AudaDrawDrita
1-0 @ 13.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 12.08%
2-1 @ 9.57%
3-0 @ 7.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.23%
5-0 @ 1.11%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 60.62%
1-1 @ 10.82%
0-0 @ 7.73%
2-2 @ 3.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 22.98%
0-1 @ 6.12% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 4.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 16.39%

How you voted: Auda vs Drita

Auda
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Drita
0.0%
5